Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 148.585738 163.138916 178.029209 194.375674 211.788142 229.753839 249.663286
2025-01-19 121.632252 142.929255 165.762367 191.943477 221.012074 252.178491 287.999658
2025-01-26 105.975857 132.558822 162.288826 197.702320 238.431329 283.508700 336.864577
2025-02-02 93.060853 123.481704 158.865934 202.490611 254.243030 313.105844 384.525104
2025-02-09 83.104063 116.518424 156.812478 208.045851 270.496231 343.209369 433.292715
2025-02-16 74.679492 110.337508 154.814662 212.983785 285.632761 371.981005 480.907501
2025-02-23 62.860765 98.440275 144.490260 206.557830 286.073394 382.608164 506.637928
2025-03-02 54.170058 89.691474 137.295728 203.261516 289.733754 396.708285 536.375042
2025-03-09 48.111686 83.891067 133.393407 203.712579 297.771232 416.043847 572.598383
2025-03-16 43.463156 79.590895 131.084132 205.911098 307.835580 437.870535 612.088637
2025-03-23 40.983252 78.248124 132.707464 213.343495 324.820449 468.714441 663.372615
2025-03-30 37.957322 75.718870 132.355495 217.837823 337.794058 494.450954 708.413632
2025-04-06 33.717568 70.899082 128.408108 217.165329 343.873373 511.557244 743.065417
2025-04-13 29.918094 66.394377 124.589800 216.410016 349.702185 528.369372 777.598508
2025-04-20 28.335439 65.541771 126.314013 223.789969 367.046041 560.868000 833.263337
2025-04-27 26.571104 64.165347 127.071972 229.665364 382.313915 590.766183 885.890991
2025-05-04 25.085391 63.126300 128.250298 236.121296 398.459782 622.033112 940.698093
2025-05-11 23.569388 61.856412 128.926641 241.747996 413.448723 651.883612 993.954607
2025-05-18 20.046507 56.197835 121.818385 234.817761 409.704020 655.574301 1011.726985
2025-05-25 17.470820 52.098886 117.043204 231.265202 410.704665 665.727452 1038.259400
2025-06-01 15.761246 49.609415 114.900314 231.798801 417.746876 684.401903 1076.629526
2025-06-08 14.469281 47.873162 113.976033 234.235532 427.656626 707.227758 1120.951606
2025-06-15 14.004213 47.993710 116.464016 242.407949 446.505308 743.092568 1183.796355